Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 123.183873 140.281741 159.182728 181.675424 207.776073 237.183755 272.931447
2025-12-28 102.195961 125.286441 152.997039 188.899573 234.470173 290.759379 366.133696
2026-01-04 88.610998 114.448018 147.323935 192.623698 254.042645 335.304805 452.435890
2026-01-11 77.262615 103.971254 139.567884 191.096260 264.797285 367.967870 526.084233
2026-01-18 70.565052 98.419845 137.083093 195.549255 283.269901 412.490166 621.968224
2026-01-25 63.839991 91.817985 132.035800 195.206614 294.046438 446.371782 706.042190
2026-02-01 58.922640 87.155821 129.063653 197.238818 308.157295 486.502785 805.392735
2026-02-08 53.404671 80.943248 122.980310 193.505885 312.283572 510.628661 880.855765
2026-02-15 49.847835 77.352338 120.491755 195.075223 325.023538 550.296636 989.223937
2026-02-22 46.817237 74.267579 118.432105 196.986389 338.340519 592.324782 1108.137761
2026-03-01 42.881696 69.329795 112.829622 192.136862 338.933862 611.158736 1184.759429
2026-03-08 39.626982 65.234560 108.244741 188.535421 341.247200 633.231115 1270.976017
2026-03-15 37.226009 62.646146 106.451228 190.639244 356.240541 685.159946 1436.759616
2026-03-22 35.843785 61.734991 107.578164 198.450940 383.755427 767.249011 1687.749881
2026-03-29 34.043389 59.881103 106.773223 202.397638 403.978212 837.402784 1926.951986
2026-04-05 31.713391 56.823160 103.396066 200.784118 412.251555 882.796108 2116.217355
2026-04-12 30.379207 55.495219 103.154897 205.490332 434.793084 964.067341 2415.487234
2026-04-19 28.595636 53.136938 100.657027 205.128187 445.898512 1020.315684 2661.576840
2026-04-26 27.239875 51.489024 99.404206 207.276142 463.071252 1094.239606 2975.435697
2026-05-03 25.402490 48.721161 95.603940 203.330701 465.155402 1130.415599 3188.050090
2026-05-10 24.249958 47.244061 94.344974 204.989318 481.199343 1205.843951 3540.481051
2026-05-17 23.218507 45.927796 93.298829 207.009327 498.448736 1287.675084 3936.099741
2026-05-24 21.674362 43.410028 89.430963 201.883865 496.446229 1315.440796 4159.217668